Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.021037 0.023249 0.025459 0.027829 0.030293 0.032774 0.035455
2025-03-09 0.016644 0.020124 0.023732 0.027723 0.031989 0.036388 0.041249
2025-03-16 0.013300 0.017492 0.021981 0.027077 0.032642 0.038484 0.045035
2025-03-23 0.011240 0.015953 0.021145 0.027165 0.033848 0.040955 0.049012
2025-03-30 0.009306 0.014334 0.020038 0.026787 0.034396 0.042583 0.051951
2025-04-06 0.007529 0.012716 0.018788 0.026121 0.034513 0.043643 0.054178
2025-04-13 0.005733 0.010885 0.017152 0.024898 0.033906 0.043817 0.055355
2025-04-20 0.005016 0.010351 0.017009 0.025363 0.035172 0.046039 0.058752
2025-04-27 0.003981 0.009277 0.016130 0.024896 0.035317 0.046960 0.060665
2025-05-04 0.003019 0.008183 0.015148 0.024247 0.035204 0.047549 0.062169
2025-05-11 0.002524 0.007711 0.014929 0.024498 0.036119 0.049286 0.064941
2025-05-18 0.001988 0.007094 0.014477 0.024429 0.036632 0.050541 0.067149
2025-05-25 0.001368 0.006285 0.013808 0.024182 0.037063 0.051859 0.069622
2025-06-01 0.000871 0.005573 0.013247 0.024080 0.037699 0.053459 0.072475
2025-06-08 0.000403 0.004675 0.012335 0.023474 0.037687 0.054279 0.074416
2025-06-15 0.000180 0.004183 0.011973 0.023556 0.038492 0.056036 0.077413
2025-06-22 0.000021 0.003545 0.011315 0.023202 0.038728 0.057098 0.079586
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002862 0.010495 0.022578 0.038594 0.057695 0.081199
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002069 0.009349 0.021433 0.037757 0.057421 0.081771
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001899 0.009324 0.021868 0.038926 0.059545 0.085132
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001471 0.008720 0.021431 0.038952 0.060274 0.086844
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001054 0.008028 0.020824 0.038731 0.060686 0.088167
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000901 0.007904 0.021058 0.039602 0.062419 0.091039